Denver Real Estate Agent Video Library
Denver Real Estate Agents, stay updated on our loan products, market trends and more!
The Oddo Group has a passion for educating people. Our goal is to give you the information you need to know so you can provide your Denver home buyers with the best experience.
As always, if you have questions or need loan assistance, feel free to call or email us.
303-961-6906
michelle.oddo@goluminate.com
Rise Above the Mortgage Rates: A Homebuyer’s Guide to Success
Mortgage rates have experienced a rollercoaster ride in recent months. After dipping earlier this year, rates have slightly increased over the past week. But what does it really mean for you, the homebuyer? Amidst these fluctuations, it’s essential to understand the bigger picture and how rates impact your homebuying journey.
Our team takes pride in demystifying the homebuying process, one conversation at a time. In this article, we’ll explore the realities of mortgage rates, provide practical strategies for navigating the current market, and help you make informed decisions.
Mortgage Rate Reality Check
Recent rate hikes have pushed the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate to 6.5%. This increase may seem daunting, but let’s put it into perspective. Despite the Federal Reserve’s efforts to cut interest rates, mortgage rates are influenced more by the yield on 10-year treasury bonds. This means that even with rate cuts, mortgage rates may not decrease immediately.
What This Means for Homebuyers
While rising mortgage rates may impact affordability, the housing market remains resilient. Here are key takeaways to keep in mind:
- Consider Refinancing When Rates Drop: If rates decrease, refinancing your loan can help you secure a better rate and lower your monthly payments. We’ll work with you to determine if refinancing makes sense for your situation.
- Look for Opportunities In a Less Competitive Market: With fewer buyers competing for homes, you may have more negotiating power and better chances of landing your ideal property.
- Focus On Long-Term Gains: Home prices tend to appreciate over time, making homeownership a solid investment. We’ll help you see beyond the short-term rate fluctuations and focus on your long-term goals.
Navigating the Market with Confidence
At the Oddo Group, we’re dedicated to helping you achieve your homeownership goals. Our expert team will guide you through:
- Finding the Right Mortgage Option: We’ll work with you to determine the best loan program for your needs, considering factors such as fixed-rate stability, adjustable-rate flexibility, and government-backed loan benefits.
- Developing a Rate Strategy: Our experts will advise on navigating rising rates, including rate locks to secure favorable rates, rate float downs to capitalize on rate drops, and refinancing options to lower your rate or monthly payments.
- Creating a Personalized Financial Plan: We’ll create a tailored plan for homeownership success by understanding your financial situation, credit score, and long-term goals, and providing guidance on budgeting, credit management, and investment strategies.
- Getting Preapproved and Leveraging Equity: Our preapproval process will help you determine your purchasing power, identify potential roadblocks, and strengthen your offer with a preapproval letter. We’ll also explore cash-out refinancing, down payment strategies, and investment opportunities to maximize your equity.
- Ongoing Support: Our partnership extends beyond closing, with ongoing monitoring of market trends and rate changes, guidance on mortgage maintenance, and support for future financial milestones.
With the Oddo Group, you’ll have the expertise and support to navigate the market with confidence. Don’t let rising mortgage rates fears hold you back. With the right guidance and knowledge, you can confidently navigate the housing market.
Contact us today to discuss your homebuying goals and create a personalized plan!
Let’s Chat.
I’m sure you have questions and thoughts about real estate. I’d love to talk with you about what you’ve read here and help you on the path to buying your new home.
Michelle Oddo
Mortgage Wealth Advisor, The Oddo Group
michelle.oddo@goluminate.com
(303) 961-6906

Your Ideal Mortgage Rate
Finding Your Ideal Mortgage Rate: What Number Are You Waiting For?
If you’ve been keeping an eye on the housing market the last few years, you likely already know how much the mortgage rates have significantly impacted the industry. Many people (maybe yourself included) have found it extremely challenging to afford jumping into the market. However, recent developments offer some encouraging news—mortgage rates have begun to decline, reaching some of the lowest levels we’ve seen so far in 2024.
This shift raises an important question: what mortgage rate are you waiting for before making your move? Let’s explore the current economic landscape, expert predictions, and how you can determine the right rate for your home-buying journey.
Understanding the Current Economic Situation
The Federal Reserve has played a crucial role in managing inflation and stabilizing the economy, particularly in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic. According to Chair Jerome Powell, the most severe economic distortions from the pandemic are fading, leading to a significant decline in inflation. As a result, mortgage rates have started to fall. Powell expressed confidence that inflation is on a sustainable path back to the Fed’s 2% target, which has been instrumental in the recent drop in mortgage rates.
What Are Experts Predicting for Mortgage Rates?
Economic experts generally agree that as inflation continues to ease, mortgage rates are likely to follow a downward trajectory. However, this doesn’t mean rates will decrease in a straight line—there will likely be some fluctuations as new economic data emerges. Despite these short-term variations, the overall trend is promising. Compared to the peak rates seen earlier this year, we’ve already experienced a decline of about one percentage point.

For example, Realtor.com recently revised its 2024 mortgage rate forecast, predicting that rates could average around 6.7% for the year and potentially dip to 6.3% by year’s end. This optimistic outlook is based on the expectation that the Federal Reserve will begin to ease its restrictive monetary policies as inflation becomes more manageable.
What’s Your Target Rate?
As the rates continue trending downward, it’s essential to consider what rate would make you feel comfortable enough to start your home search. Whether it’s 6.5%, 6.0%, or even lower, the rate you choose should align with your financial situation and long-term goals. Here are some key questions to help you identify your target rate:
- What monthly payment can I comfortably afford?
- How much of a down payment am I planning to make?
- How long do I plan to stay in the home?
- What impact will different interest rates have on my overall budget?
- How much have home prices in my desired area changed recently?
- Am I prepared to act quickly if rates hit my target?
Answering these questions can help you determine a rate that makes sense for your budget and future plans.
Why Waiting Could Cost You
While it might be tempting to wait for rates to drop even further, it’s important to consider what that could cost you. For every 1% drop in mortgage rates, approximately 5 million more households become eligible to buy a home. This increase in competition could lead to multiple offers on the homes you’re interested in, making it harder to secure your dream home.
Moreover, the perfect home might not be on the market forever. If you wait too long, you might miss out on your ideal property because someone else was ready to act when rates hit their target.
How to Stay Prepared
Once you’ve established your target rate, you don’t need to monitor rates daily. Instead, consider partnering with a trusted mortgage professional who can keep an eye on the market for you. They can notify you when rates reach your desired level, ensuring that you’re ready to act when the opportunity arises.
At Luminate Home Loans, we also monitor the rate environment for refinancing opportunities, so you can take advantage of a lower rate later if they continue to drop. Our philosophy? Date the rate, marry the house. By securing your dream home now, you can always refinance to a better rate when the opportunity arises.
In Conclusion
If you’ve been holding off on purchasing a home due to higher mortgage rates, now is an opportune time to reassess your plans. Remember – just a 1% drop in rates could bring millions of new buyers into the market, increasing competition and making it harder to find and secure your ideal home.
Talk to your lender about setting a target rate that aligns with your financial goals, and work closely with them to stay informed. By being proactive and setting a clear target, you’ll be better positioned to take advantage of favorable market conditions and make a confident, informed decision when the time is right.
When you’re ready, we’re ready—reach out to us if you have any questions. And remember, with our “Buy Now, Sell Later” program, we can help you navigate your home-buying journey with confidence.
Let’s Chat.
Are you ready to explore the benefits of real estate investing? Contact us today to discuss how you can start or expand your real estate portfolio and take advantage of current market opportunities.
Michelle Oddo
Mortgage Wealth Advisor, The Oddo Group
michelle.oddo@goluminate.com
(303) 961-6906

Why Real Estate Remains a Strong Investment In Today’s Market
In an ever-changing financial landscape, many investors are asking whether real estate remains a strong investment. You may be surprised to learn that, despite economic fluctuations, the real estate market continues to demonstrate its value.
How? Well, let’s dive into the details on why real estate remains a smart choice for those looking for a stable and profitable investment in today’s economy.
1. Tangible Asset with Intrinsic Value
Real estate is a physical asset you can see and touch. Unlike stocks or bonds, property ownership provides a sense of stability and security. Regardless of market conditions, you possess a valuable asset that fulfills a basic human need—shelter
2. Appreciation Potential
Over time, real estate typically appreciates in value. While there may be short-term dips, the long-term trend has historically been upward. This appreciation is driven by factors such as population growth, urban development, and inflation. By holding onto property, investors can see significant returns on their initial investment.
3. Income Generation
Real estate offers the unique benefit of generating income. Rental properties provide a steady stream of revenue that can help cover mortgage payments and other expenses. This rental income can also serve as a reliable source of passive income, making real estate a popular choice for those seeking financial independence.
4. Tax Benefits
Investing in real estate comes with numerous tax advantages. Investors can deduct expenses related to property maintenance, mortgage interest, and property taxes. Additionally, the IRS allows for depreciation deductions, which can significantly reduce taxable income. These tax benefits can enhance the overall profitability of a real estate investment.
5. Hedge Against Inflation
Real estate is often viewed as a hedge against inflation. As inflation rises, so do property values and rental income. This means that real estate investments can help protect your purchasing power and provide a buffer against the eroding effects of inflation on your wealth.
6. Leverage Opportunities
One of the unique advantages of real estate is the ability to use leverage. By using borrowed money to finance a property purchase, investors can amplify their returns. With relatively low interest rates still available, leveraging a real estate investment can be an effective strategy for building wealth.
7. Diversification
Real estate can diversify an investment portfolio, reducing overall risk. Unlike stocks and bonds, which are subject to market volatility, real estate often moves independently of traditional financial markets. This diversification can help stabilize returns and provide a more balanced investment strategy.
8. Control Over Investment
Real estate investors have greater control over their investment compared to other asset classes. Decisions about property management, improvements, and rental strategies are directly in the hands of the investor. This control allows for the implementation of strategies to increase the property’s value and maximize returns
Conclusion
In summary, real estate remains a strong investment option due to its tangible nature, appreciation potential, income generation, tax benefits, and ability to hedge against inflation. With opportunities for leverage and diversification, real estate continues to offer a compelling case for investors seeking stability and growth.
As with any investment, it’s essential to conduct thorough research and consult with financial advisors to ensure it aligns with your overall investment strategy. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or new to the market, considering real estate as part of your portfolio could be a prudent move in securing your financial future.
Let’s Chat.
Are you ready to explore the benefits of real estate investing? Contact us today to discuss how you can start or expand your real estate portfolio and take advantage of current market opportunities.
Michelle Oddo
Mortgage Wealth Advisor, The Oddo Group
michelle.oddo@goluminate.com
(303) 961-6906

AI in the Mortgage Industry
Is AI Being Used in the Mortgage Industry? Yes, But Not Like You Might Think!
Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you’ve likely noticed a surge in discussions about artificial intelligence (AI) in the media. From generating images to solving complex mathematical problems, AI’s capabilities are vast, and constantly growing. Originating in the 1950s, AI has evolved significantly and is now a staple in our everyday lives.
But with AI becoming more accessible commercially, many businesses are adopting it to enhance efficiency in routine tasks. At Luminate, our team leverages AI to optimize workflows, organize data, and much more. But what about the rest of the mortgage industry?
AI Uses in Mortgage
Fun fact – AI has been used in the mortgage industry since approximately the early 2000s when Frannie Mae and Freddie Mac implemented automated underwriting systems. As AI has grown and improved, its use in the industry has expanded in several impactful ways:
Data Extraction
Ask any seasoned loan officer about originating mortgages in the past, and they’ll likely highlight the cumbersome amount of paperwork involved. Think about it – one mortgage transaction can contain hundreds of pages of paperwork, documents, reports, etc.
For example, if one person had five loans to process and each loan had 100 pages of paperwork to manually review, that could take over 24 hours to get through all of those pages. This is just an exaggerated example, but you get the idea. Now, AI simplifies these mundane tasks, allowing what once took hours to be completed in just a few clicks, significantly speeding up the workflow.
Compliance & Risk Management
A big part of the mortgage industry is risk management – or, more simply, verifying how much of a risk or non-risk an applicant is. This process used to be painstakingly manual and could leave room for error, missed documents, or even unintentional bias.
With AI enhancements, lenders can now look at multiple data points like credit scores, income details, employment history, etc. much more quickly and easily. This helps lenders make more accurate and unbiased lending decisions which is something we are very passionate about here at Luminate.
Improved Customer Experiences
It’s no secret that in today’s fast-paced world, most of us want information immediately or as quickly as possible (thanks Google). Thanks to AI, lenders are able to implement more technology that helps make the mortgage process more accessible for the general public.
For example, by using AI for automations, loan applicants can get information about their loan almost instantly instead of waiting around for a human response. Now when you apply for a mortgage, you get instant automated updates on the status of your application, when documents are verified, and so much more.
The Future of AI in Mortgage & What it Could Mean for You
AI is a topic of considerable debate, but when used appropriately, it’s simply another tool to streamline processes. In the mortgage industry, AI is not replacing human workers; it’s enhancing their efficiency and effectiveness. The future is here, and the intersection of AI and mortgage continues to evolve.
At Luminate, we hold the conviction that the mortgage process will always benefit from a human touch. While AI can expedite procedural aspects, it cannot fully grasp the emotional nuances of making such a significant purchase. Our team is committed to ensuring that home ownership is attainable for everyone, combining AI with a human-first approach to deliver optimal, unbiased outcomes.
So, let’s build the future together, where AI supports and enhances our efforts to provide exceptional service and solutions.
Let’s Chat.
I’m sure you have questions and thoughts about real estate. I’d love to talk with you about what you’ve read here and help you on the path to buying your new home.
Michelle Oddo
Mortgage Wealth Advisor, The Oddo Group
michelle.oddo@goluminate.com
(303) 961-6906

Navigating the New Landscape of Real Estate Commissions
It’s undeniable that both buying and selling real estate agents bring tremendous value to the families they serve. Navigating the selling or purchase of the largest asset most American’s will ever buy, undoubtedly requires advice, perspective, and execution by a real estate professional. But not all agents are the same – some offer more services and value than others. This evolving real estate commissions structure will better enable buyers and sellers to pay for the value they see in their real estate partner.
Understanding the Changes: A New Era for Real Estate Transactions
At the heart of this development is a landmark settlement involving the National Association of Realtors (NAR), which is set to transform the traditional broker commission model. This Cooperative Compensation Agreement, which has been a standard practice in the industry, was challenged for potentially leading to a lack of transparency and higher real estate commissions fees for home sellers.
With a proposed settlement of $418 million, this change is poised to introduce a new structure that could enhance transparency.
What Does This Mean for You?
- Commission Rates: The traditional 6% commission-sharing structure is being revisited. This means that the fixed industry-standard commission rates could become a thing of the past, giving you more room to negotiate commission rates that reflect the value of the services provided.
- Enhanced Competition Among Agents: With the elimination of traditional commission sharing, real estate agents will be encouraged to compete more actively for your business. This competition could lead to more innovative and cost-effective services being offered to you as sellers and buyers search for agents who provide the best value.
- Transparency and Choice in Professional Relationships: The settlement encourages a clearer understanding between you and your agent regarding the services provided and their costs. This could lead to more personalized and transparent professional relationships, ensuring that you receive the services that best meet your needs.
Navigating This New Landscape
As these changes are poised to take effect in July 2024, it’s an opportune time for you to consider how this might affect your real estate decisions. Whether you’re contemplating buying a new home or selling your property, this evolving landscape offers new possibilities for negotiating and engaging with real estate professionals.
Your Next Steps
To navigate this new environment effectively, consider the following actions:
- Stay Informed: Keep abreast of the developments as the court’s approval process unfolds and understand how these changes could have an impact on your local real estate market.
- Seek Professional Guidance: Engage with real estate professionals who are adapting to these changes and can offer you the most valuable and transparent services.
- Evaluate Your Options: Consider how these changes might influence your real estate strategy and adjust your approach to make the most of the new landscape. It is possible your fees to use a buyer agent in the acquisition of your new home, may not be covered by the seller and may fall into the category of buyer’s closing costs.
As your guide in this journey, we’re here to provide you with the insights and support you need to make the most informed decisions in this new real estate era. Reach out to the Oddo Group to better understand how these changes will impact your homebuying or selling experience.
Let’s Chat.
I’m sure you have questions and thoughts about real estate. I’d love to talk with you about what you’ve read here and help you on the path to buying your new home.
Michelle Oddo
Mortgage Wealth Advisor, The Oddo Group
michelle.oddo@goluminate.com
(303) 961-6906

Navigating the Housing Shortage with Confidence
With concerns about high interest rates and memories of past financial uncertainties, many are questioning whether it’s the right time to buy. Despite these concerns, experts highlight a critical difference from past issues: a current shortfall of around 5 to 6 million housing units.
Why is There a Shortage?
This shortage is primarily due to the building industry not keeping up with the increasing demand for homes. To match population growth, about 1.5 million new homes need to be built each year, a target that has been missed consistently since 2008. Looking back over decades of data, it’s clear that this underbuilding has led to the tight housing market we see today.

The impact of this shortage is evident when considering the number of homes currently for sale—only about 500,000, far below the usual 2.6 million. Many of these homes are in such poor condition that they’re hardly considered viable options, making the effective inventory even smaller.
So, What Do We Do?
This situation isn’t just about numbers; it’s a real concern for anyone hoping to buy a home. The lack of available homes is expected to push up prices and rents, making it harder for potential buyers to find affordable options.
However, it’s important to remember that even in a challenging market, opportunities exist. Being well-informed and understanding the market’s nuances can help you identify these opportunities. Whether it’s finding a hidden gem in a tight market or navigating the complexities of purchasing in a time of shortage, knowledge is your best asset.
Conclusion
In conclusion, while the path to homeownership might seem daunting in today’s market, it’s not insurmountable. By educating yourself about the current housing landscape and seeking the right advice, you can navigate these challenges and move closer to finding your dream home.
Let’s Chat.
I’m sure you have questions and thoughts about real estate. I’d love to talk with you about what you’ve read here and help you on the path to buying your new home.
Michelle Oddo
Mortgage Wealth Advisor, The Oddo Group
michelle.oddo@goluminate.com
(303) 961-6906

The Real Impact of Unemployment on Mortgage Rates in 2024
We’ve been saying for a while that mortgage rates will start making meaningful progress lower once we enter a recession, but the economy has been surprisingly resilient even in the wake of the most aggressive interest rate hikes in history. As it stands at the start of 2024, the U.S. is still not currently in a recession, according to the traditional definition (a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and lasts more than a few months).
The job market remains one of the U.S. economy’s main engines, with the nation’s unemployment rate near a 50-year low and wages finally pulling ahead of inflation. At the same time, major companies in technology, finance, media and other key sectors have all recently announced sizable job cuts, with layoffs nationwide more than doubling in January from a month earlier.
This positive jobs report and continued delay of an economic downturn has given even more credence to those who believe the Federal Reserve will be able to achieve a “soft landing” for the economy – raising interest rates just enough to slow the economy and reduce inflation without causing a recession.
But is the U.S. labor market really as “healthy” as the headlines say? Let’s find out.
January Jobs Reports Show Conflicting Numbers
In their analysis of the most recent labor data from The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), MBS Highway notes that January’s jobs report might not be the blockbuster that it appears to be on the surface.
The BLS reported that there were 353,000 jobs created in January, which was nearly double expectations. Revisions to November and December also added 126,000 jobs in those months combined.
According to MBS Highway, while the headline job growth figure for January appears strong on the surface, future revisions lower are a very real possibility. January is always a heavily adjusted month, as new benchmarks, seasonal adjustments and population controls play a big role in calculating the data.
The Household Survey, where the Unemployment Rate comes from, is considered more real-time because it’s derived by calling households to see if they are employed. This survey has its own job creation component and it told a completely different story, showing 31,000 job losses.
Average weekly hours worked also declined to the lowest level since 2010 (excluding the pandemic). This is important because one of the ways businesses cut costs is to cut the number of hours worked. On average the entire labor force is working 30 minutes fewer per week, which equates to 2.4 million job losses on its own.
What’s more, ADP’s Employment Report showed that private payrolls began 2024 slower than expected, with employers adding just 107,000 new jobs in January.


The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) showed that job openings were stronger than expected in December, rising from 8.925 million in November to 9.026 million. The hiring rate rose from 3.5% to 3.6% while the quit rate remained at 2.2%, suggesting there’s a lack of employers trying to entice workers with other offers.
There’s also the unemployment claims. The latest weekly Initial Jobless Claims reached their highest level since November, as 224,000 people filed for unemployment benefits for the first time.
Continuing claims also surged higher, up 70,000 with 1.898 million people still receiving benefits after filing their initial claim. Both Initial and Continuing Jobless Claims have risen over the last two weeks to nearly three-month highs.
Why We Believe Mortgage Rates are Heading Lower
Inflation is declining, but further declines are dependent upon continued slowing in the labor market. The latest jobs numbers, while they might show some strength right now, hint at weakness that could encourage Fed policymakers to permanently halt any future rate hikes.
A slowing economy is deflationary, and mortgage rates always follow the direction of inflation: higher in inflationary markets and lower in deflationary markets.
Layoffs are a harbinger for slowing economy, and there has been an uptick in job cuts recently across technology and media. Alphabet, eBay, TikTok, and the Los Angeles Times have all recently announced layoffs. And just recently, Snap (the owner of Snapchat) announced it was cutting 10 percent of its workforce. UPS, Macy’s, and Levi’s also recently cut jobs.
We are seeing multiple indicators of layoffs, rising continued jobless claims, and a rising unemployment rate.
The unemployment rate has risen from a low of 3.4% in April 2023 to 3.7% currently. Every time the unemployment rate has bottomed and moved higher, a recession has followed. Recessions are deflationary by definition and therefore bring lower mortgage rates and greater housing affordability with them.


The Bottomline
While an economic slowdown needs to happen to help taper inflation, it hasn’t always been a bad thing for the housing market. Typically, it has meant that the cost to finance a home has gone down, and that’s a good thing.
But remember, a slowing market does not mean a crashing one! Even though mortgage rates have increased, demand for homes is still very high. This has led to home prices reaching all-time highs in many areas of the country.
Mortgage rates will drop when the economy slows down, which we expect to happen later this year or in the beginning of 2024.
When that happens, even more people will want to buy a home. This will keep home prices rising, which means the sooner you buy a home, the sooner you will benefit and see your home equity grow.
Let’s Chat.
I’m sure you have questions and thoughts about real estate. I’d love to talk with you about what you’ve read here and help you on the path to buying your new home.
Michelle Oddo
Mortgage Wealth Advisor, The Oddo Group
michelle.oddo@goluminate.com
(303) 961-6906

2024 Housing Forecast
2024 Housing Forecast: What to Expect with Rates, Prices, and the Economy
It started with a continuation of negative trends from the end of 2022 and turned into the least affordable year for home buying on record. But even though high mortgage rates resulted in a severe drop in home sales, they also kept a lot of would-be sellers “locked in” to their low mortgage rates, and home prices continued to rise throughout the year as a result.
At the end of the year, activity slightly increased as positive inflation signals brought rates down. But will that continue as we move into 2024? And if it does, will more homebuyers enter the market? How will that increased demand impact home values?
To help with this analysis, we turned to Barry Habib and MBS Highway The data below is pulled from their 2024 Housing Forecast report.
Mortgage Rates
First things first, mortgage rates. While we expected mortgage borrowing costs to fall in 2023, they defied expectations and ended up reaching multi-decade highs.
Rates began the year 2023 on a downward slope, but quickly reversed course and surpassed 7% by spring. Things got even worse as rates climbed beyond 8% in October.
However, inflation has since cooled and economic reports continue to signal that the worst of it could be over.
The Federal Reserve has also gotten on board, and they are very optimistic about rate cuts in 2024. After raising rates 11 times in less than two years, there could be three or more cuts next year.
While the Fed doesn’t directly control mortgage rates, their monetary policy tends to correlate. As they cut rates in the face of a cooling economy, mortgage rates should also fall.
We anticipate 30-year fixed rates to decrease throughout the year, possibly reaching as low as the mid-5% range by December.
The way things are going, it could come sooner. And rates could go even lower, potentially dropping into the high-4% depending on loan product and qualification factors.
2024 Rate Forecast
30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage
- Mid-5% to High-6%
- Under 6% should unlock move-up buyers
10 year Treasury
- 3% to 4.4%
- Return to more normal spreads could cause mortgage rates to drop further.
Mortgage Rates Decline During Recessions

There were about $1.3 trillion in home purchase loan originations during 2023, despite it being a slow year. And rates have since come down quite a bit from what will likely be the highest point in this cycle.
Considering all those high-rate mortgages that funded over the past two years, we’re confident there will be a large pool of homeowners who will benefit from refinancing their current loans and see substantial savings on their monthly payments.
In addition, we might see homeowners tap equity via a cash out refinance if rates keep coming down and get closer to their existing rate.
Home Prices
Lately, there’s been a lot more optimism in the real estate market thanks to easing mortgage rates.
Housing inventory hit historic lows during the pandemic and a lack of supply has been a major constraint on the housing market. Supply has continued to remain low largely because of the “rate lock-in” effect.
Many homeowners who likely would have listed their homes for sale decided to stay put last year because of their ultra-low rates. Nationally, more than 60% of homeowners with a mortgage have an interest rate below 4%.
However, we believe supply will loosen up in 2024. Even homeowners who have been locked in to low rates will increasingly find that changing family and financial circumstances will lead to more moves and more new listings over the course of the year, particularly as rates move closer to 6%.
More new listings will add to inventory, though overall supply will likely still remain low. This will continue to put upward pressure on home prices.
Between 2019 and 2022, the median home price nationally rose by more than 40%, or by about 13.7% annually, a much faster past of price appreciation than during a typical market. Strong demand during the pandemic, fueled by historically low mortgage rates and increased savings, drove up home prices.
Home price growth moderated in 2023, but still saw higher-than-average increases thanks to persistently low supply in the market. CoreLogic’s latest Home Price Insights report shows that prices were up 5.2% year-over-year in November 2023.
Looking ahead, several factors will push and pull at home prices. More inventory will be generally offset by more buyers in the market. As a result, we believe homes prices will rise at a similar pace they did in 2023 at an annual rate of 4.5-5%.
2024 Real Estate Forecast
Nationwide Appreciation
- 4.5% to 5%
Transaction Volume
- Up 15% – 20%

The Bottomline
In 2024, we expect mortgage rates to drop closer to 6% in the wake of easing inflationary and less restrictive monetary policy.
These lower rates will bring more activity into the market. Demand will continue to overwhelm supply, and we believe we will see low-single digit appreciation throughout the year.
We are confident that the housing market will remain steady in 2024 and beyond, and that real estate will continue to be a safe investment and a great way to build wealth.
If you would like to know if homeownership is a possibility for you this year,give us a call. Let’s discuss your questions about the state of the housing market, and help you put together a plan to get a great deal on a home and start building wealth through home equity when the time is right.
Let’s Chat.
I’m sure you have questions and thoughts about real estate. I’d love to talk with you about what you’ve read here and help you on the path to buying your new home.
Michelle Oddo
Mortgage Wealth Advisor, The Oddo Group
michelle.oddo@goluminate.com
(303) 961-6906

Maximize Your Tax Refund as a Homeowner in 2024
Over the past decade, homeownership costs have skyrocketed, posing affordability challenges amidst soaring home prices and high mortgage rates. Did you know that beyond mortgage payments, US homeowners spend an average additional $17,459 yearly?
However, these increased expenses give homeowners the opportunity for potential tax benefits that can significantly boost your tax refund come filing season.
Understanding these potential tax advantages is pivotal for homeowners aiming to maximize their tax refund. Here’s a breakdown of key homeowner tax breaks and credits available in 2024 to ensure you claim every possible deduction and savings opportunity.
How Do Homeowner Tax Breaks Work?
Most homeowner tax breaks come in the form of deductions, reducing your taxable income. When filing your return, you choose between the standard deduction or itemizing deductions like charitable contributions and state taxes.
To take advantage of homeowner tax deductions, you’ll need to itemize your deductions using Form 1040 Schedule A. Your decision to itemize will depend on whether your itemized deductions are greater than your standard deduction. All of the best tax software can quickly help you decide whether to itemize (as well as help you fill out all of the tax forms mentioned in this article).
Tax credits, on the other hand, directly lower your tax liability without requiring itemization. They offer savings opportunities while allowing you to simplify your taxes with the standard deduction.
Key Tax Advantages for Homeowners in 2024
Mortgage Interest Deduction
Mortgage interest is a prevalent tax deduction for homeowners, especially beneficial for new homeowners, as their initial mortgage payments primarily cover interest.
For joint filers, deductions apply to mortgage interest payments on loans up to $1 million or $750,000 for loans made after Dec. 15, 2017.
Single filers can claim half these amounts – $500,000 or $375,000, respectively.
To claim this deduction, use IRS Form 1098 provided by your lender in early 2024, entering the amount from Line 1 onto Line 8 of 1040 Schedule A.
Mortgage Points Deduction
Mortgage points, known as “discount points,” are purchasable to lower mortgage interest. Typically, for every 1% of the mortgage amount paid beyond the down payment, home buyers can reduce their interest rate by around 0.25%, the exact reduction varying based on the lender and loan terms.
Investing in discount points can yield significant savings on a 30-year mortgage, diminishing total interest payments over the loan term. Moreover, they offer tax advantages upon purchase. The IRS categorizes mortgage points as prepaid interest, enabling their inclusion in the total mortgage interest reported on Line 8 of 1040 Schedule A.
Mortgage Interest Credit
Homeowners holding a Mortgage Credit Certificate (MCC) from a state or local government, typically obtained through a mortgage lender, can receive a tax credit on a portion of their mortgage interest payments. The credit rate varies by state, ranging from 10% to 50%, capped at a maximum credit of $2,000.
This tax-saving strategy is especially advantageous for first-time homeowners, defined as individuals not owning a home for the past three years. If you’re a first-time buyer, consult your lender or mortgage broker to determine MCC eligibility.
To claim the mortgage-interest tax credit, utilize IRS Form 8396. Notably, itemizing deductions is unnecessary to claim these tax credits.
Property Tax Deduction
Property taxes, also known as local and state real estate taxes, remain deductible from your taxes, albeit with revised limits post-2017. Thanks to the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, deductions are capped at $10,000 for combined property taxes and state/local income taxes. Previously, before 2017, the entire property tax amount was deductible.
To claim your property tax deduction, meticulous tracking of annual property tax payments is essential. These taxes might be detailed in Box 10 of Form 1098 from your mortgage lender. Record the total real estate taxes paid for the year in Line 5b of 1040 Schedule A to claim this deduction.
Home-Office Deduction for Self-Employed
Individuals utilizing a portion of their residence exclusively and routinely for personal business or side ventures qualify for home business expense deductions using IRS Form 8829. Renters can also benefit from these deductions.
The simplest approach to claim a home-office tax deduction is through the standard home-office deduction, calculated at $5 per square foot used for business, up to 300 square feet. Alternatively, the “regular method” involves determining the percentage of home space utilized for business. Both methodologies involve reporting through Form 8829.
Notably, remote employees of companies aren’t eligible for home-office deductions.
Energy Efficiency and Clean Energy Credits
If you made energy-efficient enhancements to your home in 2023, there’s a possibility of receiving tax credits, though the process can be intricate. These credits encompass two categories: the residential clean energy credit and the energy efficient home improvement credit.
The residential clean energy credit refunds 30% of expenses incurred from installing solar electricity, solar water heating, wind energy, geothermal heat pumps, biomass fuel systems, or fuel cell property. However, there’s a cap for fuel cell property – $500 for every half-kilowatt capacity.
The energy-efficient home improvement credit, also termed the nonbusiness energy property credit, divides into “residential energy property costs” and “qualified energy efficiency improvements.” The former offers a flat tax credit ranging from $50 to $300 for Energy Star-certified installations like heat pumps or water heaters. The latter provides a 10% tax credit for improvement costs such as insulation, roof repairs, or window replacements.
Previously capped at $500 for all improvements, the energy efficient home improvement credit now holds an annual limit of $1,200 from the 2023 tax year, thanks to the Inflation Reduction Act.
To claim tax credits for energy-efficient home improvements made in 2023, maintain records of costs and report them using IRS Form 5695.
Home Equity Loan Interest Deduction
Interest from a home equity loan or second mortgage qualifies for tax deductions akin to regular mortgage interest, but with a crucial caveat: maximum loan totals are capped at $1 million or $750,000 (for joint filers) for homes purchased after Dec. 15, 2017.
It’s imperative to emphasize that the 2017 tax law restricts deductions for home equity loan interest solely to funds utilized for “buying, building, or substantially improving” homes. Using the loan for other purposes like purchasing a car or funding vacations negates eligibility for deductions.
If the interest paid on a home equity loan was directly invested in your residence, you can claim the deduction alongside mortgage interest and points. Report this deduction on Line 8 of Form 1040 Schedule A.
Upon selling a home, taxes are levied on the earned amount as capital gains. However, residing in the home for two of the past five years before selling unlocks a substantial tax exclusion – $500,000 for married joint filers or $250,000 for single or separate filers.
This tax exclusion is universally available to all Americans, irrespective of age or prior benefit utilization. Notably, residency requirements pertain regardless of homeownership. For instance, if you rented a house for two years before purchasing it, you’re eligible for the standard residence exclusion upon selling.
Typically, you’ll receive tax information concerning the home sale through a 1099-S form. Report your ultimate gain, applying the $500,000/$250,000 exclusion, on IRS Form 8949. However, if you don’t receive a 1099-S form and your house’s profit falls below the exclusion limit, no reporting of the sale on your taxes is necessary.
Which Home Expenses Are Not Tax Deductable?
Despite all the tax breaks available for homeowners, there are some home-related expenses that can’t be deducted from your income.
- Your down payment for a mortgage
- Any mortgage payments toward the loan principal
- Utility costs like gas, electricity and water
- Fire or homeowner’s insurance
- House cleaning or lawn maintenance
- Any depreciation of your home’s value
Conclusion
From mortgage interest and property taxes to necessary home improvements and home office expenses, homeowners can potentially reduce their tax liability. Be sure to consult with a tax professional for personalized advice and to stay updated.
However, it’s important to stay updated on the latest tax regulations, income limitations, and qualifying criteria. By taking advantage of these deductions, you can make the most of their tax benefits and potentially save more money in the long run.
Let’s Chat.
I’m sure you have questions and thoughts about real estate. I’d love to talk with you about what you’ve read here and help you on the path to buying your new home.
Michelle Oddo
Mortgage Wealth Advisor, The Oddo Group
michelle.oddo@goluminate.com
(303) 961-6906

Why The No-Cost Refinance Makes Sense – Buy Now, Build Equity, and Save Big in 2024
Owning a home is a crucial part of finding financial freedom, but deciding when to make the move into homeownership is never an easy decision. That decision is especially hard today with home prices and mortgage rates at record highs.
Buying a home now would likely come with a housing payment that is significantly higher than you would like. But waiting to buy until next summer, or until rates drop, will likely mean more competition, higher home prices, and less ability to negotiate on your purchase.
This is where the no-cost refinance comes in. While mortgage rates are high, many homebuyers have chosen to buy now and refinance for free later. This gives you the ability to jump into homeownership now, immediately benefit from paying down your mortgage balance, lock in your home price, and eliminate the gamble that home prices and mortgage rates will fall at the same time (spoiler alert: they never do.)
An economic recession is all but inevitable now, despite the government stimulus that delayed for much longer than expected. When the economic slowdown comes, mortgage rates will drop and allow those who bought at higher rates to refinance into much lower rates – usually at no cost.
Understanding Refinance Closing Costs
Closing costs are the dollar amounts it costs to get a mortgage done. There’s an appraiser, loan processor, underwriter, title or escrow officer, recording fees, credit reports, transfer taxes – you get the point. There are a lot of parties involved in writing a mortgage, and everyone needs to get paid. This is true whether you’re buying a new home or refinancing an existing mortgage.
Typically, there are three different buckets of costs or fees associated with refinancing a mortgage:
- Lender fees are the costs associated with taking your loan from application to closing. While these kinds of fees typically include an application fee, credit report fee, origination fee, processing fee, and an underwriting fee, the full list of what you pay will vary depending on the lender you choose.
- Title fees are the third-party costs associated with the sale of the property or refinance of the loan. You might also hear these called escrow fees depending on where you live. The amount and type of title fees you pay will vary depending on the state and property type, but typically include the costs associated with title insurance, attorney fees, settlement fees, recording fees, etc.
- Prepaids are the upfront payments that need to be made to cover certain expenses in advance. Prepaids commonly include monthly homeownership expenses like homeowners’ insurance premiums, property taxes, and any mortgage interest that accrues on the loan from the closing date through the end of the month before your first payment.
What is a No-Cost Refinance?
When a lender advertises a no-cost refinance, they are saying they will offer you a credit to offset the lender, title, and other third-party fees. This is usually done in exchange for a slightly higher interest rate than you would receive if you chose a traditional refinance and paid all your closing costs out of pocket.
With most no-cost refinances the only costs you will be responsible for are the prepaids. These costs can vary widely depending on the location of your property (for property taxes) and when you close your loan (for prepaid interest). You can either pay these upfront costs when you close, but often your lender can roll them into your new loan amount, so you truly do not have to pay anything out of pocket.
This might make you question the “no-cost” part of your refinance, but prepaids are not really considered closing costs. Even if you did not refinance, you would still be paying property taxes, homeowner’s insurance, and mortgage interest. Getting a new loan just means you pay a few months’ worth of these costs upfront to get your escrow account funded with enough to pay taxes and insurance when due.
Keep in mind you will also likely get a refund from your previous mortgage escrow account. When you refinance, your original loan is completely paid off, and any balance you had left in that escrow account will be refunded to you in the form of a check issued by your old mortgage servicer typically within 30 days. You could always put that escrow refund from our previous loan, to work by paying down the balance of the new loan.
When Should You Consider a No-Cost Refinance?
In a market where rates are expected to go down, no-cost refinance is one of the savviest tools you can use to save money both short and long term.
If you bought a home today, it’s very likely that you will have multiple opportunities to refinance your loan and capture savings before rates settle at their cyclical bottom.
If you refinance and pay closings costs, then refinance again as rates continue to drop, it’s likely you won’t have recouped all the closing costs from the initial refinance.
Let’s say you bought a home today, and six months from now you can refinance and save $250 on your monthly payment. Assuming you added the closing costs of $8,000 into your new loan, you would have to keep your loan for 32 months to breakeven. If you refinance again any time before that, you will have lost money.
A no-cost refinance eliminates this risk, even if the rate for the no-cost refinance is a little higher. Let’s say the monthly savings are only $200. With $0 closing costs, even if you refinance again in one year, you will have saved $2,400.
The Bottom Line
In today’s market where interest rates are expected to fall considerably, a no-cost refinance can be a simple and risk-free way for homeowners to save money.
While rate is certainly an important consideration, along with the term of your loan, a no-cost refinance can eliminate the risk of paying double or even triple closing costs in a market where rates decline substantially.
Nobody knows where the bottom of the market is, or what the lowest rate will be in the future, but if the savings make sense and you can get those savings without costs, a no-cost refinance can be a great way to reduce your monthly payment and save you money.
At Luminate Home Loans, our goal is to make sure you know exactly the rate at which it makes sense to do a no-cost refinance. Our mortgage advisors constantly monitor your loan relative to the current market conditions, and whenever there is enough of a benefit for you, we will proactively reach out to you and offer to refinance your loan at the most advantageous loan structure possible for your unique situation.
This is what we like to call our Mortgage Under Management strategy. Where we constantly keep eyes on your existing loan, relative to what rates are available in the market, so you never have to worry if you are in the best possible mortgage. If we are doing our job right, the closing of your first home loan with us, is where our relationship begins.
Let’s Chat.
I’m sure you have questions and thoughts about the real estate process. I’d love to talk with you about what you’ve read here and help you on the path to buying your new home.
Michelle Oddo
Mortgage Wealth Advisor, The Oddo Group
michelle.oddo@goluminate.com
(303) 961-6906
